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TICS Numbers
From the TBI, it looks like of 28,606 total January transactions, 1,293 were denied. Of those, 722 were appealed. Of those appeals, 592 were reversed.
So, of that sample, 81% were false positives, I suppose. Doesn’t really foster much faith in the system.
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Posted in uncategorized on February 17th, 2009
by SayUncle | RSS 2.0 |
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February 17th, 2009 at 7:30 pm
So, instead of shouting SNBI we can just agree on your words?
“The perfect is the enemy of the good. Or, in this case, better.”
February 18th, 2009 at 1:59 pm
By my calculation the false positive rate is 46% (592/1293). Still not good, but not as bad as 81%
February 18th, 2009 at 2:27 pm
that’s assuming all others aren’t also false positives but point taken.
February 18th, 2009 at 4:02 pm
One might also assume that the 571 (1293-722) didn’t appeal because they knew that they were correctly denied.
You can’t assume that the incorrect denial rate is as high when the people most effected are unwilling to exercise their appeal rights.
Reality is likely somewhere between all the unappealed cases were correctly denied, and 46% were falsely denied.
February 18th, 2009 at 4:12 pm
That was my point. the series of assumptions affects the numbers. Hence why I went with know false positives. The number is mostly definitely higher than that.