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Beer Bet

I’ve thought about it and here’s my beer bet that I do every election. I’m 100% on these (and this could change it, of course). I bet one beer John McCain will be the Republican nominee. Huckabee will drop out. His voters will not go to Romney because Huckabee’s supporters think their invisible man in the sky can beat up Romney’s invisible man in the sky. Or Huckabee’s supporters won’t vote. McCain is the default.

Obama will win the Democrat primary. Seems running on vague notions of change and hope while offering no specifics is a kick ass marketing gimmick.

Between those two, I’ll have to use William Burton’s rule of thumb for wagering on Presidential elections:

See who looks most like a funeral director, and bet against him.

I dunno. That’s tough. McCain and Obama both have that look.

Update: Heh: As Jerry Seinfeld pioneered the concept of a sitcom about nothing, Barack Obama is pioneering the candidacy about nothing.

Via MKS.

Update: Hmmm, looks like Huckabee’s pulling some wins. Still predicting McCain though.

9 Responses to “Beer Bet”

  1. tgirsch Says:

    I’ll take Hillary in a beer bet on the Democratic side.

    Also, you might want to reconsider your opinion on the Huckabee supporters, since the invisible man in the sky movement is formally coming out against McCain.

  2. tgirsch Says:

    Also, as I linked on my blog, Obama hardly lacks substance.

  3. SayUncle Says:

    Yeah, but not all of them will be against McCain. But I think near all of them won’t go for the Mormon thing.

  4. Ron W Says:

    I heard a sound bite this morning on WTN-FM radio in Nashville of Obama jokingly bragging ” I now have Secret Service protection…these guys don’t smile” and relating it to Deniro’s endorsement.

    But anyway, he supports most every gun control measure that comes down the unconstitutional pike, but yet he’s got these hired guns with full-auto weapons protecting him!

    And he wants to deny me SEMI-AUTO weapons (two of my current guns) with a so-called “assault weapons ban”. Why doesn’t he lead by example and have his SS agents disarm EVERYWHERE and in EVERYWAY that he wants to impose on us?? Let him go by the laws he wants to impose on us….and that goes for the rest of ’em!

    Change agent ?? NOT!! He’s the same old arrogant elitist!

  5. jay Says:

    Question:
    If Hillary loses the election, will she still be a Senator?

  6. Breda Says:

    hmm….I dunno. What kind of beer?

  7. deadcenter Says:

    “As Jerry Seinfeld pioneered the concept of a sitcom about nothing, Barack Obama is pioneering the candidacy about nothing.”

    Too late, Bill Clinton did that back in ’92 campaining on a platform of sax playing and pain feeling.

  8. straightarrow Says:

    I’ll be ready to cover your bet on thursday. Be ok?

  9. drstrangegun Says:

    “funeral director… vote against”

    See, the trouble is that McCain doesn’t looks like the director, he looks like the guest of honor…